Visualizing Doink Distance: The Impact of the 33-yd XP
In 2015, the NFL moved extra points from 20 yards to 33 yards. Most of what changed is well-documented — make rates dropped, blocks went up. The increase in kicks striking the upright is foreseeable, but the increase in made doink rate is surprising.
The biggest spike in doinks in NFL history is courtesy of the 2015 move of the extra point attempts from 20 yards to 33 yards. Doinked field goals per year from 2000 through 2025 vary year-over-year but hang out around 25-30 per year. Doinked extra points went from 2-5 per year to 12-15 annually.
At the same time, short range doinks have decreased because short range field goals are going extinct with the more field position-minded approach of going for it. These attempts have the highest miss rate, likely because a long-range doink can hit the crossbar, which has friendlier bounce physics compared to any other part of the goalpost.
With extra points filtered out, the modern era still dominates made doinks. Whatever happened to kickers between 2014 and now, it isn't only about the distance of point-after attempts. True shanks and mis-hits, those kicks that are never even in the same camera frame as the goal posts, are far less common nowadays.
The biggest surprise here is the increase in made doinks.
Once you account for the chaos of luck, the next likely explanation is kicker mechanics — modern kickers strike the ball more consistently, putting more makes within doink-margin of the uprights. Survivor bias is almost certainly a significant factor, too.
Even so, the season-over-season made doink data tells the same story, even more plainly.